Broncos First Round Projections

I grow weary of the hype when it comes to mock drafts and projected picks. It’s fun to imagine the what-ifs but with a later draft this year, it became an extended season of woulds, coulds, shoulds and blind stabs in the dark.

But we’re only hours away now, so here are some thoughts on potential scenarios in the first round for the Broncos tonight:

  1. Most Likely
    The Broncos stand pat with the 31st pick and take the best player on their board. There is plenty of talent on the board and the Broncos should have a number of good choices for players who could come in and contribute right away.
  2. Very Possible
    The Broncos trade out of the first round into the early second and add another pick or two. The myriad opinions on the QBs in this draft means that there will most likely be a couple of prospects who have dropped down to #31. I could see one of the teams in need of a QB that passed in the first round trading back into the Broncos spot to grab one of them.
  3. I Don’t Think So
    The Broncos won’t trade up in the first round. They are in win now mode, but they don’t have glaring needs that they have to climb up to fill with a blue chipper. Elways has said before that they fill their immediate needs in free agency and build a long-term roster through the draft. Giving up extra picks to move up in the first round would be a break from that philosophy….and the wrong choice.

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Peyton Manning still is looking for a starting running back between Ronnie Hillman, Knowshon Moreno and rookie Montee Ball. Moreno might wind up with a bigger role than expected. The defense, currently struggling with injuries, will look for the right combination of starters against the Rams, with opening night less than two weeks away.

I like the patience Montee Ball has shown in following blockers but I’m looking for something from Knowshon tonight. I also think he has a chance to secure serious playing time for himself.

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A helpful season preview at times, and glaring holes at others. It’s as if he’s only read headlines out of Broncos training camp, without paying attention to any pre-season games or practice reports. First off, he says this about the first team D-Line — “Fortunately for Denver, any weaknesses at linebacker will be partially masked by a powerful front four.” — though San Francisco and Seattle ran right through them so far. Then, in the safeties, he mentions the Broncos’ “willingness to play Quinton Carter”, who hasn’t played at all in the preseason, and includes no mention of Duke Ihenacho. Oops.

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"The Substances of Abuse policy requires everyone to comply with the rules. Although my suspension doesn’t result from a positive test, there is no excuse for my violations of the rules. I made mistakes and my suspension has hurt my team, Broncos fans, and myself. I am especially sorry for the effect of my bad decisions on others.  I will not make the same mistakes about adhering to the policy in the future.  During my time off the field, I will work tirelessly and focus exclusively on remaining in peak shape.  I look forward to contributing immediately upon my return to the field and bringing a championship back to the people of Denver."

If there’s anything to be optimistic about here, it’s that Von is saying the right things. I recognize I’m a homer, but somewhere between the league and the media, this whole thing was handled awfully.

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This is link bait (and it obviously worked). Adam Schein’s core argument here is that the Broncos have key injuries and a looming suspension that will effect them early in the season.

Then he ends with this:

Don’t get me wrong, I still think Denver wins the AFC West. But the Broncos are closer to a 10-win team than a juggernaut. I don’t view them as an AFC powerhouse, let alone an NFL powerhouse.

The last three Super Bowl winners have 10, 9 & 10 wins and none was a strong favorite even going into the playoffs. Yes, the Broncos aren’t a gimme for the Super Bowl, and there is plenty of competition in the AFC, but the arguments here aren’t strong.

I’m more concerned about the Broncos potentially patchwork offensive line all season long, or the struggles stopping the run up the middle in the preseason — those could cause more problems for the Broncos than Schein’s surface arguments.

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the fact is, Manning may have to play with this patch-work offensive line during the regular season if any of the o-lineman have reoccurring injuries. The time is now for Manning to get on the same page with his line.

I agree with Jon’s reasoning, and Manning has said this week it will be good to get reps against different players. But I’ll be happy to see him jogging off the field after a series or two.

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